What science says about dementia prevention โ 14 risk factors and the latest trials
Short answer: There is no guaranteed way to prevent dementia. But an international expert commission estimates that addressing 14 modifiable risk factors โ including hearing loss, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, inactivity, smoking and social isolation โ could in theory prevent or delay up to about 45% of cases. "Prevention" here means delaying onset or slowing progression, not making dementia impossible.
The scale of the problem
According to the World Health Organization, about 57 million people were living with dementia worldwide in 2021, with nearly 10 million new cases each year. Alzheimer's disease accounts for 60โ70% of cases. In Japan, a government-funded study published in 2024 estimated 4.43 million people aged 65+ with dementia in 2022, rising to about 5.84 million by 2040 โ lower than earlier projections, which the researchers linked partly to falling smoking rates and better management of conditions such as high blood pressure and diabetes.
The 14 risk factors (Lancet Commission, 2024)
The 2024 report of the Lancet Commission listed 14 modifiable risk factors, adding high LDL cholesterol in midlife and untreated vision loss in later life to the 12 from 2020.
Early life
- Less education
Midlife (roughly 18โ65)
- Hearing loss
- High LDL cholesterol
- Depression
- Traumatic brain injury
- Physical inactivity
- Diabetes
- Smoking
- Hypertension
- Obesity
- Excessive alcohol
Later life (65+)
- Social isolation
- Air pollution
- Untreated vision loss
Eliminating all 14 could, in theory, prevent or delay about 45% of dementia worldwide. The largest contributions were midlife hearing loss and high LDL cholesterol, about 7% each.
What intervention trials found
Most risk factors come from observational studies. Whether changing them actually reduces dementia must be tested in trials, and the results so far show both promise and limits.
FINGER (Finland, 2015)
People aged 60โ77 at elevated risk received two years of dietary guidance, exercise, cognitive training and vascular risk management. The intervention group scored slightly but significantly better on cognitive tests than controls. The difference was small, but the trial launched similar multidomain studies worldwide (WW-FINGERS).
J-MINT (Japan, 2024)
531 people aged 65โ85 with mild cognitive impairment received 18 months of risk-factor management, exercise classes, nutrition counselling and tablet-based cognitive training. The primary cognitive outcome did not differ significantly from the control group. Participants who attended at least 70% of exercise classes showed improvement, and some higher-risk subgroups appeared to benefit.
SPRINT MIND (USA, 2019)
About 9,300 adults with high blood pressure were treated to a systolic target below 120 mmHg or below 140 mmHg. The intensive group had a 19% lower risk of mild cognitive impairment. A clear effect on dementia itself was not shown, partly because the trial ended early.
ACHIEVE (USA, 2023)
977 adults aged 70โ84 with hearing loss received hearing aids and audiology support for three years. There was no difference in cognitive decline overall. In a subgroup at higher risk to begin with, decline was 48% slower.
WHO guidelines
The WHO's 2019 guidelines reviewed physical activity, stopping smoking, diet, alcohol, cognitive training, social activity, weight, blood pressure, cholesterol, blood sugar and hearing. For cognitive training, the recommendation was conditional and the evidence very low to low (see Does brain training work?).
What this suggests for daily life
These steps matter for your whole body, not only for dementia โ and are best taken with your doctor:
- Check and manage blood pressure, cholesterol and blood sugar
- Don't ignore hearing problems โ get tested and ask about hearing aids if needed
- Don't ignore vision problems โ conditions such as cataracts can often be treated
- Stay physically active in a way you can keep up
- Stop smoking and keep alcohol moderate
- Stay socially connected
- Seek help for persistent low mood
- Protect your head โ fall prevention, helmets for cycling and sport
Where brain games fit
Brain games are not a substitute for any of the above. MIKIRI does not claim to prevent dementia or improve cognitive function. Enjoy it as a game, share scores with others, and use it as a small daily habit if it helps.
FAQ
- Can dementia be prevented?
- There is no guaranteed method. Addressing the 14 risk factors may delay onset or reduce risk.
- Where should I start?
- Get a health check that covers blood pressure, cholesterol and blood sugar, and have your hearing and vision tested. Physical activity and social connection also matter.
- Do brain games help?
- The evidence for dementia prevention is limited and the WHO recommendation is conditional. They do not replace exercise or managing health conditions.
Sources
- Livingston G, et al. Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2024 report of the Lancet standing Commission. Lancet. 2024;404(10452):572-628. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01296-0
- World Health Organization. Dementia โ fact sheet (2026). https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/dementia
- Japan Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare research group (Ninomiya T). Prevalence and future estimates of dementia and MCI (2024, in Japanese). https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/001279920.pdf
- Ngandu T, et al. A 2 year multidomain intervention ... (FINGER). Lancet. 2015;385:2255-2263. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60461-5
- National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology. J-MINT study results (2024, in Japanese). https://www.ncgg.go.jp/ri/report/20240507.html
- SPRINT MIND Investigators. Effect of Intensive vs Standard Blood Pressure Control on Probable Dementia. JAMA. 2019;321(6):553-561. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2018.21442
- Lin FR, et al. Hearing intervention versus health education control to reduce cognitive decline in older adults with hearing loss in the USA (ACHIEVE). Lancet. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(23)01406-X
- WHO. Risk reduction of cognitive decline and dementia: WHO guidelines (2019). https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789241550543
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